Japan Hub
The Japan national football team has won against Tunisia and now has 4 points, advancing their chances of entering the final tournament. If they draw or win against Sweden on the 25th, they will be guaranteed a spot in the final tournament as one of the top two teams in their group.
Can Japan Advance as Third?
There is still a possibility that Japan can advance to the final tournament even if they come in third. The top 8 teams out of 12 groups can advance as third, and there are 495 possible patterns.
Predicting the Next Opponent
Out of the 330 patterns where Japan's group can advance to the final tournament, 276 of them result in a match against the first-place team in group I, which has the highest probability at 83.6%. The next most likely opponent is the first-place team in group E, which has a 10.6% chance of happening.
| Group | Probability of Match |
|---|---|
| I | 83.6% |
| E | 10.6% |
| D | 3.3% |
| B | 1.5% |
| A | 0.9% |
Deciding the Third-Place Teams
The comparison of the third-place teams' performance will be done in the following order: 1. Points earned in the group stage 2. Goal difference in the group stage 3. Total goals scored in the group stage 4. Fair play points 5. World ranking
